Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.467363 0.518698 0.574032 0.638224 0.710786 0.790427 0.884674
2025-04-13 0.370440 0.437768 0.515747 0.613200 0.732366 0.874146 1.056803
2025-04-20 0.328426 0.404781 0.497611 0.619701 0.777406 0.976092 1.248275
2025-04-27 0.298582 0.380647 0.484410 0.626706 0.819054 1.073309 1.440331
2025-05-04 0.274835 0.360575 0.472675 0.632047 0.856173 1.165242 1.632717
2025-05-11 0.254152 0.341893 0.460023 0.633406 0.885997 1.247852 1.818957
2025-05-18 0.238712 0.328549 0.452798 0.640613 0.923379 1.343245 2.033250
2025-05-25 0.219059 0.307419 0.432462 0.626321 0.926621 1.386692 2.170204
2025-06-01 0.208427 0.298233 0.428279 0.635110 0.964906 1.486605 2.408396
2025-06-08 0.195432 0.284463 0.416034 0.630092 0.980366 1.550689 2.592720
2025-06-15 0.186321 0.275775 0.410631 0.635004 1.011712 1.643031 2.836123
2025-06-22 0.174738 0.262436 0.396973 0.625272 1.017398 1.691679 3.005235
2025-06-29 0.165053 0.251612 0.386794 0.620887 1.032535 1.759586 3.221750
2025-07-06 0.151955 0.234556 0.365506 0.596183 1.010007 1.757791 3.303383
2025-07-13 0.146229 0.229005 0.362538 0.602508 1.043200 1.861284 3.608101
2025-07-20 0.141052 0.223985 0.360032 0.609288 1.077577 1.970125 3.938130
2025-07-27 0.135984 0.218801 0.356841 0.614459 1.109165 2.076425 4.276969
2025-08-03 0.130640 0.212803 0.351810 0.615774 1.133256 2.169869 4.599958
2025-08-10 0.126599 0.208788 0.349947 0.622752 1.168943 2.290571 5.002583
2025-08-17 0.119616 0.199233 0.337633 0.608916 1.161377 2.319000 5.189811
2025-08-24 0.116446 0.196239 0.336942 0.617424 1.200366 2.451854 5.652088
2025-08-31 0.111570 0.189909 0.329749 0.612567 1.210766 2.522295 5.967038
2025-09-07 0.108329 0.186361 0.327477 0.617322 1.242041 2.643154 6.431827